CGY
3–4
PHI
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 26-20-11
3–4
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 23-25-10
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
012113210335
PHI
1102913422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 26-20-11 · PHI 23-25-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames fell to the Flyers
The Flames created the better chances (4.5 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 35 and 22 shots on goal.
CGY 4.5 xG · 35 shots
PHI 2.4 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.5 · 1.4
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Travis Konecny · 1st 16:59 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Nicolas Deslauriers · 2nd 07:30 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 08:55 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Tony DeAngelo · 2nd 11:31 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 04:38 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 08:54 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
7
Wade Allison · 3rd 11:33 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 78.
CGY 78%PHI 22%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Travis Konecny · 1st 16:59 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Nicolas Deslauriers · 2nd 07:30 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 08:55 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Tony DeAngelo · 2nd 11:31 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 04:38 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 08:54 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
7
Wade Allison · 3rd 11:33 · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Dennis Gilbert, Andrew Mangiapane · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
