Calgary Flames
CGY · 27-22-13
1–2
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 38-16-8
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
1701405126
TOR
010114110234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
CGY 27-22-13 · TOR 38-16-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
Flames fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.8 expected goals); the Flames lost 1–2. Joseph Woll stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.8, on 26 and 34 shots on goal.
CGY 3.4 xG · 26 shots
TOR 3.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.1
2nd
1.7 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Blake Coleman · 1st 02:32 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 07:36 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 02:20 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 45.
CGY 45%TOR 55%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Blake Coleman · 1st 02:32 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 07:36 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 02:20 · GWG · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.