Calgary Flames
CGY · 30-24-13
5–1
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 33-29-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
21628115539
OTT
01211306131
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 30-24-13 · OTT 33-29-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames beat the Senators
The Flames earned it: 5.5 expected goals to 2.4, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Jacob Markstrom stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 5.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 39 and 31 shots on goal.
CGY 5.5 xG · 39 shots
OTT 2.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
2.1 · 1.2
2nd
1.7 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 12:09 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Elias Lindholm · 1st 18:26 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 05:55 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 07:03 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 13:08 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Trevor Lewis · 3rd 05:30 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 86.
CGY 86%OTT 14%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 12:09 · SH · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Elias Lindholm · 1st 18:26 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 05:55 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 07:03 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 13:08 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Trevor Lewis · 3rd 05:30 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/39 saves · 5 GA · 5.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.