CGY
5–6
DAL
Final / OT · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 31-24-15
5–6
Final / OTL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 38-19-13
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CGY
11031411202538
DAL
3101101412626
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–1
CGY 31-24-15 · DAL 38-19-13 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–1
Flames fell to the Stars
The Flames created the better chances (3.9 to 3.2 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Robertson's goal. Jacob Markstrom allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 3.2, on 38 and 26 shots on goal.
CGY 3.9 xG · 38 shots
DAL 3.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.9
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
OT
0.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joe Pavelski · 1st 01:05 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Radek Faksa · 1st 01:58 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
3
Elias Lindholm · 1st 03:01 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 16:08 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
MacKenzie Weegar · 2nd 10:20 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Blake Coleman · 2nd 13:56 · 3–3 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
7
Nick Ritchie · 2nd 16:58 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Jason Robertson · 2nd 18:10 · 4–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
9
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 09:53 · 5–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 12:09 · 5–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
11
Jason Robertson · OT 04:47 · 5–6 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 60.
CGY 60%DAL 40%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joe Pavelski · 1st 01:05 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Radek Faksa · 1st 01:58 · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
3
Elias Lindholm · 1st 03:01 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 16:08 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
MacKenzie Weegar · 2nd 10:20 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Blake Coleman · 2nd 13:56 · 3–3
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
7
Nick Ritchie · 2nd 16:58 · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Jason Robertson · 2nd 18:10 · 4–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
9
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 09:53 · 5–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 12:09 · 5–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
11
Jason Robertson · OT 04:47 · GWG · 5–6
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
20/26 saves · 6 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/38 saves · 5 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
