Calgary Flames
CGY · 33-26-15
5–3
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 19-39-15
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
27113210530
SJS
11028013331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–0
CGY 33-26-15 · SJS 19-39-15 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–0
Flames beat the Sharks
The Flames earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.6, and a 5–3 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 30 and 31 shots on goal.
CGY 3.7 xG · 30 shots
SJS 2.6 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
1.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 04:09 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 07:13 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Logan Couture · 1st 14:25 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Nico Sturm · 2nd 04:52 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Martin Kaut · 2nd 05:14 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
· 2nd 05:39 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 05:45 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 18:50 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 67.
CGY 67%SJS 33%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 04:09 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 07:13 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Logan Couture · 1st 14:25 · 2–1
Deflected shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Nico Sturm · 2nd 04:52 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Martin Kaut · 2nd 05:14 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
· 2nd 05:39 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 05:45 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 18:50 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.