Calgary Flames
CGY · 36-27-15
3–4
FinalL
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 25-46-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
17119110336
CHI
2110428423
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–3
CGY 36-27-15 · CHI 25-46-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–3
Flames fell to the Blackhawks
The Flames created the better chances (3.8 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.1, on 36 and 23 shots on goal.
CGY 3.8 xG · 36 shots
CHI 2.1 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andreas Athanasiou · 1st 05:09 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 11:52 · 1–1 · bat shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jujhar Khaira · 1st 19:22 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 11:44 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Andreas Athanasiou · 3rd 01:42 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Austin Wagner · 3rd 03:11 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 13:09 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 77.
CGY 77%CHI 23%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andreas Athanasiou · 1st 05:09 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 11:52 · 1–1
Bat shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jujhar Khaira · 1st 19:22 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 11:44 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Andreas Athanasiou · 3rd 01:42 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Austin Wagner · 3rd 03:11 · GWG · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 13:09 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.