Calgary Flames
CGY · 1-0-0
5–3
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 0-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
281628522
WPG
11511418337
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 1-0-0 · WPG 0-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Jets
The Flames were outchanced (5.0 to 2.2 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Lindholm's winner came with 1:32 left. Jacob Markstrom stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 5.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 37 and 22 shots on goal.
CGY 2.2 xG · 22 shots
WPG 5.0 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 1.6
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 2.7
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 12:29 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Kyle Connor · 1st 14:48 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 17:50 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Alex Iafallo · 2nd 11:19 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 13:49 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 14:18 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 18:28 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 19:53 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 15.
CGY 15%WPG 85%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 12:29 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Kyle Connor · 1st 14:48 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 17:50 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Alex Iafallo · 2nd 11:19 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 13:49 · SH · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 14:18 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 18:28 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 19:53 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 5.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.