CGY
3–4
DAL
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 2-7-1
3–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 6-1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
113112122347
DAL
11131405430
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 2-7-1 · DAL 6-1-1 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Stars
Chances were even (4.0 to 3.6 expected goals); the Flames lost 3–4. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.0 expected goals to 3.6, on 47 and 30 shots on goal.
CGY 4.0 xG · 47 shots
DAL 3.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.0
2nd
1.3 · 2.0
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Zary · 1st 05:28 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Jamie Benn · 1st 19:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
3
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 01:57 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 04:35 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 10:07 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Mason Marchment · 2nd 19:48 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 02:20 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 56.
CGY 56%DAL 44%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Zary · 1st 05:28 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Jamie Benn · 1st 19:06 · SH · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
3
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 01:57 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 04:35 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 10:07 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Mason Marchment · 2nd 19:48 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 02:20 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
44/47 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
