CGY
4–2
NSH
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 4-7-1
4–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 5-7-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
017110312439
NSH
2601002218
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 4-7-1 · NSH 5-7-0 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Predators
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Flames erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Hanifin's equalizer — and won 4–2. The Flames owned the 1st period, 1.6 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 39 and 18 shots on goal.
CGY 3.5 xG · 39 shots
NSH 1.7 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael McCarron · 1st 04:35 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Kiefer Sherwood · 1st 14:34 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Dillon Dube · 2nd 15:06 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 04:45 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 06:24 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 18:21 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 79.
CGY 79%NSH 21%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael McCarron · 1st 04:35 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Kiefer Sherwood · 1st 14:34 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Dillon Dube · 2nd 15:06 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 04:45 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 06:24 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/38 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
