Calgary Flames
CGY · 6-8-2
5–2
FinalW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 12-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
111217211539
VAN
190518222
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 6-8-2 · VAN 12-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Canucks
The Flames earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 1.8, and a 5–2 win to show for it. The Flames owned the 2nd period, 1.9 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.8, on 39 and 22 shots on goal.
CGY 3.1 xG · 39 shots
VAN 1.8 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.5
3rd
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Elias Pettersson · 1st 09:38 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 17:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Dillon Dube · 2nd 10:49 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (54%)
4
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 19:24 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 05:53 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Nils Hoglander · 3rd 10:06 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 18:08 · 5–2 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 72.
CGY 72%VAN 28%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Elias Pettersson · 1st 09:38 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 17:55 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Dillon Dube · 2nd 10:49 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (54%)
4
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 19:24 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 05:53 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Nils Hoglander · 3rd 10:06 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 18:08 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.