Calgary Flames
CGY · 6-8-3
4–5
Final / SOL
New York Islanders
NYI · 6-6-5
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
CGY
110111214040439
NYI
1829114021533
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 6-8-3 · NYI 6-6-5 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Islanders
The Flames were outchanced (4.5 to 3.4 expected goals) and lost it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 3.4, on 33 and 39 shots on goal.
CGY 3.4 xG · 39 shots
NYI 4.5 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
0.9 · 1.8
OT
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Pospisil · 1st 12:16 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
· 1st 16:52 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 04:07 · 1–2 · slap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 08:07 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Blake Coleman · 2nd 17:03 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
6
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 03:12 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brock Nelson · 3rd 03:32 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
8
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 13:43 · 4–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 35.
CGY 35%NYI 65%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Pospisil · 1st 12:16 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
· 1st 16:52 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 04:07 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
4
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 08:07 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Blake Coleman · 2nd 17:03 · 2–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
6
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 03:12 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brock Nelson · 3rd 03:32 · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
8
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 13:43 · 4–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Islanders
Goaltending
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
35/39 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.