CGY
4–3
DAL
Final / OT · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 10-10-3
4–3
Final / OTW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 13-5-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CGY
21001111312436
DAL
210011500316
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–1
CGY 10-10-3 · DAL 13-5-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–1
Flames beat the Stars
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.0 expected goals); the Flames won it in overtime on Kadri's goal. Scott Wedgewood allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.0, on 36 and 16 shots on goal.
CGY 2.4 xG · 36 shots
DAL 2.0 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 0.1
3rd
0.5 · 0.7
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Thomas Harley · 1st 04:51 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Chris Tanev · 1st 08:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Noah Hanifin · 1st 15:30 · 2–1 · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Mason Marchment · 1st 19:00 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Mason Marchment · 3rd 01:49 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 17:19 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Nazem Kadri · OT 01:01 · 4–3 · deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 59.
CGY 59%DAL 41%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Thomas Harley · 1st 04:51 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Chris Tanev · 1st 08:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Noah Hanifin · 1st 15:30 · 2–1
Bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Mason Marchment · 1st 19:00 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Mason Marchment · 3rd 01:49 · PS · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 17:19 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Nazem Kadri · OT 01:01 · GWG · 4–3
Deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2
Andrew Mangiapane, Dennis Gilbert · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
3
Blake Coleman, Mikael Backlund · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–1
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
7
Jonathan Huberdeau, Jacob Markstrom · deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–3
No penalties
Goaltending
13/16 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
