CGY
3–4
VAN
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 10-11-3
3–4
FinalL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 16-8-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
180729324
VAN
271916422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 10-11-3 · VAN 16-8-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames fell to the Canucks
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.3 expected goals); the Flames lost 3–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.3, on 24 and 22 shots on goal.
CGY 2.9 xG · 24 shots
VAN 3.3 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.3
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Quinn Hughes · 1st 02:03 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sam Lafferty · 1st 08:38 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (67%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 1st 12:18 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 19:32 · 1–3 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 15:39 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 18:40 · 2–4 · deflected shot, into an empty net
7
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 19:06 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 45.
CGY 45%VAN 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Quinn Hughes · 1st 02:03 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sam Lafferty · 1st 08:38 · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (67%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 1st 12:18 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 19:32 · 1–3
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 15:39 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 18:40 · EN · GWG · 2–4
Deflected shot, into an empty net
7
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 19:06 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
