CGY
2–5
MIN
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 10-12-3
2–5
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 9-10-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
05110115230
MIN
11331214529
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 10-12-3 · MIN 9-10-4 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Wild
The Flames were outchanced (3.8 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Dan Vladar allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.4, on 29 and 30 shots on goal.
CGY 2.4 xG · 30 shots
MIN 3.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 2.2
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marcus Foligno · 1st 01:26 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 00:45 · 0–2 · bat shot, a great chance (43%)
3
Matt Boldy · 2nd 01:30 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 06:51 · 1–3 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Matt Boldy · 2nd 13:58 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Connor Zary · 3rd 01:37 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 06:49 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 30.
CGY 30%MIN 70%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marcus Foligno · 1st 01:26 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 00:45 · 0–2
Bat shot, a great chance (43%)
3
Matt Boldy · 2nd 01:30 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 06:51 · 1–3
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Matt Boldy · 2nd 13:58 · PP · 1–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Connor Zary · 3rd 01:37 · 2–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 06:49 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
4
MacKenzie Weegar, Rasmus Andersson · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
13/16 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
11/13 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
