CGY
3–2
CAR
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 11-12-3
3–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 14-11-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
0709311327
CAR
21101009230
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 11-12-3 · CAR 14-11-1 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Hurricanes
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Flames erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Zary's equalizer — and won 3–2.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.3, on 27 and 30 shots on goal.
CGY 3.2 xG · 27 shots
CAR 1.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
1.1 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 02:10 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Michael Bunting · 1st 08:49 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 05:42 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
4
Connor Zary · 3rd 07:03 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (44%)
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 11:44 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 81.
CGY 81%CAR 19%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 02:10 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Michael Bunting · 1st 08:49 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 05:42 · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
4
Connor Zary · 3rd 07:03 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (44%)
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 11:44 · SH · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
