CGY
4–2
TBL
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 12-14-5
4–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 14-13-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
0831216426
TBL
06010217233
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 12-14-5 · TBL 14-13-5 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Lightning
Chances were even (1.9 to 2.2 expected goals); the Flames won 4–2. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 2.2, on 26 and 33 shots on goal.
CGY 1.9 xG · 26 shots
TBL 2.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.2
2nd
0.7 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
A.J. Greer · 2nd 02:30 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
MacKenzie Weegar · 2nd 06:17 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 07:00 · 3–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 3rd 04:10 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 05:40 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Connor Zary · 3rd 11:42 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 43.
CGY 43%TBL 57%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
A.J. Greer · 2nd 02:30 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
MacKenzie Weegar · 2nd 06:17 · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 07:00 · GWG · 3–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 3rd 04:10 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 05:40 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Connor Zary · 3rd 11:42 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
