Calgary Flames
CGY · 13-14-5
3–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 18-11-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
190728324
FLA
11509010134
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 13-14-5 · FLA 18-11-2 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Panthers
The Flames were outchanced (3.2 to 2.1 expected goals) but won 3–1 anyway. Jacob Markstrom stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 34 and 24 shots on goal.
CGY 2.1 xG · 24 shots
FLA 3.2 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.2
2nd
0.5 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Pospisil · 1st 08:45 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Sam Reinhart · 1st 19:29 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 03:31 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 18:27 · 3–1 · into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 31.
CGY 31%FLA 69%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Pospisil · 1st 08:45 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Sam Reinhart · 1st 19:29 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 03:31 · SH · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 18:27 · EN · 3–1
into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.