CGY
4–3
PHI
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 15-16-5
4–3
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 19-12-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
011110312433
PHI
18011212331
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 15-16-5 · PHI 19-12-5 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Flyers
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.7 expected goals); the Flames won 4–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 31 shots on goal.
CGY 2.5 xG · 33 shots
PHI 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Ristolainen · 1st 09:44 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 18:21 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Dennis Gilbert · 3rd 07:29 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 14:29 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Bobby Brink · 3rd 16:36 · 3–2 · tip in shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Blake Coleman · 3rd 17:42 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Egor Zamula · 3rd 18:38 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 48.
CGY 48%PHI 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Ristolainen · 1st 09:44 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 18:21 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Dennis Gilbert · 3rd 07:29 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 14:29 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Bobby Brink · 3rd 16:36 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Tip in shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Blake Coleman · 3rd 17:42 · EN · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Egor Zamula · 3rd 18:38 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
3
Jonathan Huberdeau, Blake Coleman · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–1
5
Cam Atkinson, Travis Konecny · tip in shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–2
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
