Calgary Flames
CGY · 18-18-5
6–3
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 14-22-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
115111410636
OTT
21317013333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 18-18-5 · OTT 14-22-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames beat the Senators
The Flames were outchanced (4.0 to 2.9 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Joonas Korpisalo allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 33 and 36 shots on goal.
CGY 2.9 xG · 36 shots
OTT 4.0 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.6
2nd
0.9 · 1.2
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jacob Bernard-Docker · 1st 04:09 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Connor Zary · 1st 04:53 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 19:57 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (75%)
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 03:50 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 12:39 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 00:47 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Blake Coleman · 3rd 08:57 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 15:45 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Blake Coleman · 3rd 17:12 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 33.
CGY 33%OTT 67%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jacob Bernard-Docker · 1st 04:09 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Connor Zary · 1st 04:53 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 19:57 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (75%)
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 03:50 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 12:39 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 00:47 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Blake Coleman · 3rd 08:57 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 15:45 · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Blake Coleman · 3rd 17:12 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.