CGY
3–4
TOR
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 21-19-5
3–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 22-13-8
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
21111005326
TOR
1731609432
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
CGY 21-19-5 · TOR 22-13-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
Flames fell to the Maple Leafs
The Flames let a 2–0 lead get away: the Maple Leafs came back with four unanswered goals — Matthews's equalizer with the goalie pulled — and won 3–4. The Maple Leafs owned the 3rd period, 1.3 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.1, on 26 and 32 shots on goal.
CGY 3.3 xG · 26 shots
TOR 3.1 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.3
2nd
1.7 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 10:52 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 15:23 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Auston Matthews · 1st 18:24 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:08 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 07:44 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 13:39 · 2–4 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 17:53 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (74%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 53.
CGY 53%TOR 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 10:52 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 15:23 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Auston Matthews · 1st 18:24 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:08 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 07:44 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 13:39 · GWG · 2–4
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 17:53 · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (74%)
1st period
1
Rasmus Andersson, Jonathan Huberdeau · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
4
William Nylander, Pontus Holmberg · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
