Calgary Flames
CGY · 21-21-5
3–4
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 23-20-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
11721305335
STL
0102927426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
CGY 21-21-5 · STL 23-20-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
Flames fell to the Blues
The Flames let a 3–1 lead get away: the Blues came back with three unanswered goals — Kyrou's equalizer — and won 3–4. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.4, on 35 and 26 shots on goal.
CGY 2.8 xG · 35 shots
STL 2.4 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 11:38 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Saad · 2nd 08:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 11:13 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 12:17 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 17:13 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 06:56 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Brandon Saad · 3rd 19:12 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 56.
CGY 56%STL 44%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 11:38 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Saad · 2nd 08:27 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 11:13 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 12:17 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 17:13 · SH · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 06:56 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Brandon Saad · 3rd 19:12 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
4
Jonathan Huberdeau, Elias Lindholm · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.