Calgary Flames
CGY · 21-22-5
2–5
FinalL
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 15-23-9
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
2180408230
CBJ
29111212532
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
CGY 21-22-5 · CBJ 15-23-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
Flames fell to the Blue Jackets
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.8 expected goals); the Flames lost 2–5. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.8, on 30 and 32 shots on goal.
CGY 2.8 xG · 30 shots
CBJ 2.8 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 1.5
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Egor Chinakhov · 1st 02:50 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 07:26 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Damon Severson · 1st 11:48 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Connor Zary · 1st 14:42 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
5
Alexandre Texier · 2nd 06:33 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (54%)
6
Dmitri Voronkov · 3rd 13:43 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 18:18 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 50.
CGY 50%CBJ 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Egor Chinakhov · 1st 02:50 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 07:26 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Damon Severson · 1st 11:48 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Connor Zary · 1st 14:42 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
5
Alexandre Texier · 2nd 06:33 · SH · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (54%)
6
Dmitri Voronkov · 3rd 13:43 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 18:18 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.