CGY
6–3
WPG
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 26-25-5
6–3
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 33-15-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
21321229634
WPG
31308010331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
CGY 26-25-5 · WPG 33-15-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
Flames beat the Jets
Down 1–3 in the 1st period, the Flames erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Kadri's equalizer — and won 6–3. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.5, on 34 and 31 shots on goal.
CGY 3.4 xG · 34 shots
WPG 3.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.2 · 2.0
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 04:19 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Sean Monahan · 1st 06:07 · 1–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Sean Monahan · 1st 06:49 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
4
Sean Monahan · 1st 11:24 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Blake Coleman · 1st 14:09 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a great chance (34%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 04:58 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 16:06 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 13:18 · 5–3 · snap shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
9
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 18:03 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 48.
CGY 48%WPG 52%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 04:19 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Sean Monahan · 1st 06:07 · PP · 1–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Sean Monahan · 1st 06:49 · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
4
Sean Monahan · 1st 11:24 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Blake Coleman · 1st 14:09 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a great chance (34%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 04:58 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 16:06 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 13:18 · 5–3
Snap shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
9
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 18:03 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
