CGY
4–3
PIT
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 30-25-5
4–3
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 27-23-8
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
0317310420
PIT
21401016330
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 30-25-5 · PIT 27-23-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames beat the Penguins
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Flames erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Coleman's equalizer — and won 4–3. Tristan Jarry allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.2, on 30 and 20 shots on goal.
CGY 2.2 xG · 20 shots
PIT 2.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 16:42 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Lars Eller · 1st 19:26 · 0–2 · bat shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 03:37 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jeff Carter · 3rd 02:51 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 10:09 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Blake Coleman · 3rd 10:41 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 19:10 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 38.
CGY 38%PIT 62%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 16:42 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Lars Eller · 1st 19:26 · PP · 0–2
Bat shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 03:37 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jeff Carter · 3rd 02:51 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 10:09 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Blake Coleman · 3rd 10:41 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 19:10 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
