CGY
2–6
COL
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 31-29-5
2–6
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 41-20-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
2901008227
COL
11951603638
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–3
CGY 31-29-5 · COL 41-20-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–3
Flames fell to the Avalanche
The Flames were outchanced (2.3 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 2–6. Dan Vladar allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.8, on 38 and 27 shots on goal.
CGY 1.8 xG · 27 shots
COL 2.3 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 02:05 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
2
· 1st 03:24 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
· 1st 06:46 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Josh Manson · 2nd 04:52 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 05:50 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 07:53 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 14:10 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:14 · 2–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 39.
CGY 39%COL 61%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 02:05 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
2
· 1st 03:24 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
· 1st 06:46 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Josh Manson · 2nd 04:52 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 05:50 · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 07:53 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 14:10 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:14 · 2–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
3
Jonathan Huberdeau, Brayden Pachal · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–1
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
29/35 saves · 6 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
3/3 saves · 0 GA · 0.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
