Calgary Flames
CGY · 32-29-5
4–1
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 35-24-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
013012412437
VGK
06111012129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–1
CGY 32-29-5 · VGK 35-24-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–1
Flames beat the Golden Knights
The Flames earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 2.4, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Dustin Wolf stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.4, on 37 and 29 shots on goal.
CGY 3.0 xG · 37 shots
VGK 2.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.3 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 17:56 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 04:00 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Blake Coleman · 3rd 10:06 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Matt Coronato · 3rd 14:45 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 17:02 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 60.
CGY 60%VGK 40%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 17:56 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 04:00 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Blake Coleman · 3rd 10:06 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Matt Coronato · 3rd 14:45 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 17:02 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.