Calgary Flames
CGY · 33-29-5
5–2
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 25-31-11
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
1921029528
MTL
015212011238
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
CGY 33-29-5 · MTL 25-31-11 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
Flames beat the Canadiens
The Flames were outchanced (3.0 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Cayden Primeau allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.4, on 38 and 28 shots on goal.
CGY 2.4 xG · 28 shots
MTL 3.0 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 16:23 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 00:11 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Martin Pospisil · 2nd 07:41 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Cole Caufield · 2nd 10:34 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
David Savard · 2nd 18:25 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 01:01 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (24%)
7
· 3rd 03:54 · 5–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 41.
CGY 41%MTL 59%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 16:23 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 00:11 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Martin Pospisil · 2nd 07:41 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Cole Caufield · 2nd 10:34 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
David Savard · 2nd 18:25 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 01:01 · PP · 4–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (24%)
7
· 3rd 03:54 · 5–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
1
MacKenzie Weegar, Andrew Mangiapane · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
7
MacKenzie Weegar, Mikael Backlund · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5–2
No penalties
Goaltending
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.