CGY
2–4
EDM
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 34-37-5
2–4
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 47-24-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
0911818235
EDM
1918210427
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Flames trail the season series 1–3
CGY 34-37-5 · EDM 47-24-5 · Meeting 4 this season — the Flames trail the season series 1–3
Flames fell to the Oilers
The Flames were outchanced (3.3 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 2–4. The Flames scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 27 and 35 shots on goal.
CGY 2.6 xG · 35 shots
EDM 3.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.4
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 19:44 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Connor Brown · 2nd 03:13 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 03:57 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 07:13 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 10:36 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 19:17 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 37.
CGY 37%EDM 63%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 19:44 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Connor Brown · 2nd 03:13 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 03:57 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 07:13 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 10:36 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 19:17 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Connor McDavid · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
