CGY
6–3
PHI
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 2-0-0
6–3
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
2917316632
PHI
01921219340
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 2-0-0 · PHI 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Flyers
The Flames earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.6, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Ivan Fedotov allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 32 and 40 shots on goal.
CGY 3.5 xG · 32 shots
PHI 2.6 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.3
2nd
1.2 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 05:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 07:43 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Travis Konecny · 2nd 07:05 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 14:41 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Joel Farabee · 2nd 18:11 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 14:46 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 15:34 · 5–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Travis Konecny · 3rd 17:11 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 18:16 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 63.
CGY 63%PHI 37%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 05:37 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 07:43 · PP · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Travis Konecny · 2nd 07:05 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 14:41 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Joel Farabee · 2nd 18:11 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 14:46 · GWG · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 15:34 · 5–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Travis Konecny · 3rd 17:11 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 18:16 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Jonathan Huberdeau, Andrei Kuzmenko · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
