Calgary Flames
CGY · 5-0-1
4–3
Final / SOW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 3-4-1
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
CGY
1120627001425
PIT
012113211020338
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 5-0-1 · PIT 3-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Penguins
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.7 expected goals); the Flames won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 25 and 38 shots on goal.
CGY 2.6 xG · 25 shots
PIT 2.7 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 11:48 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Bryan Rust · 2nd 06:31 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 02:32 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 07:46 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Noel Acciari · 3rd 13:40 · 2–3 · wrap around shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 19:17 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 49.
CGY 49%PIT 51%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 11:48 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Bryan Rust · 2nd 06:31 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 02:32 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 07:46 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Noel Acciari · 3rd 13:40 · 2–3
Wrap around shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 19:17 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Flames
Goaltending
35/38 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.