CGY
2–4
CAR
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 5-1-1
2–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 4-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
07114111232
CAR
114218111443
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 5-1-1 · CAR 4-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Hurricanes
The Flames were outchanced (3.4 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 2–4. The Hurricanes owned the 2nd period, 1.5 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 43 and 32 shots on goal.
CGY 2.6 xG · 32 shots
CAR 3.4 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
3rd
1.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 12:29 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 00:41 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 01:59 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jake Bean · 2nd 13:01 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 13:05 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Eric Robinson · 3rd 18:43 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 38.
CGY 38%CAR 62%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 12:29 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 00:41 · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 01:59 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jake Bean · 2nd 13:01 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 13:05 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Eric Robinson · 3rd 18:43 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
Shayne Gostisbehere, Jesperi Kotkaniemi · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
