CGY
3–5
WPG
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 5-2-1
3–5
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 8-0-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
16112111329
WPG
21604315535
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 5-2-1 · WPG 8-0-0 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.3 expected goals); the Flames lost 3–5. Dustin Wolf allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 29 and 35 shots on goal.
CGY 2.5 xG · 29 shots
WPG 2.3 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.1 · 0.3
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 00:28 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 01:51 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Connor · 1st 17:37 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 17:28 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Samberg · 3rd 01:01 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 04:19 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 16:16 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Mason Appleton · 3rd 18:46 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 53.
CGY 53%WPG 47%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 00:28 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 01:51 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Connor · 1st 17:37 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 17:28 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Samberg · 3rd 01:01 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 04:19 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 16:16 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Mason Appleton · 3rd 18:46 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Nino Niederreiter, Vladislav Namestnikov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–4
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
