Calgary Flames
CGY · 6-5-1
2–4
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 6-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
08110113231
EDM
210011210431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 6-5-1 · EDM 6-5-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.1 expected goals); the Flames lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 31 and 31 shots on goal.
CGY 2.2 xG · 31 shots
EDM 2.1 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 00:20 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
· 1st 08:12 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 04:33 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 04:28 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 10:10 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Mattias Janmark · 3rd 19:57 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 54.
CGY 54%EDM 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 00:20 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
· 1st 08:12 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 04:33 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 04:28 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 10:10 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Mattias Janmark · 3rd 19:57 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.