CGY
3–4
STL
Final / OT · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 13-9-5
3–4
Final / OTL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 13-12-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CGY
1141911501339
STL
28091413424
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 13-9-5 · STL 13-12-2 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Blues
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.9 expected goals); the Flames lost it in overtime on Parayko's goal. Dan Vladar allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.9, on 39 and 24 shots on goal.
CGY 3.1 xG · 39 shots
STL 2.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
OT
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 12:49 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Robert Thomas · 1st 14:49 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
· 1st 15:04 · 1–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Matt Coronato · 2nd 05:23 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 06:00 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 07:06 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Colton Parayko · OT 02:25 · 3–4 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 52.
CGY 52%STL 48%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 12:49 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Robert Thomas · 1st 14:49 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
· 1st 15:04 · 1–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Matt Coronato · 2nd 05:23 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 06:00 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 07:06 · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Colton Parayko · OT 02:25 · GWG · 3–4
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
