CGY
3–8
TBL
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 14-11-5
3–8
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 15-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
192706322
TBL
193849826
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 14-11-5 · TBL 15-10-2 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Lightning
The Flames were outchanced (3.5 to 1.4 expected goals) and lost 3–8. Dan Vladar allowed 4.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.4, on 26 and 22 shots on goal.
CGY 1.4 xG · 22 shots
TBL 3.5 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
3rd
0.5 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 04:42 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:40 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 06:25 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 07:55 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 11:05 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 12:14 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Connor Zary · 2nd 14:50 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 00:43 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 11:34 · 3–6 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
10
Conor Geekie · 3rd 13:24 · 3–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
11
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 17:21 · 3–8 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 18.
CGY 18%TBL 82%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 04:42 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:40 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 06:25 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 07:55 · PP · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 11:05 · PP · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 12:14 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Connor Zary · 2nd 14:50 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 00:43 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 11:34 · PP · 3–6
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
10
Conor Geekie · 3rd 13:24 · 3–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
11
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 17:21 · 3–8
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
1
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/26 saves · 8 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 4.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
