CGY
2–3
OTT
Final / OT · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 15-11-7
2–3
Final / OTL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 17-13-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CGY
190911301232
OTT
170121713329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
CGY 15-11-7 · OTT 17-13-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
Flames fell to the Senators
The Flames created the better chances (3.3 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Tkachuk's goal. Linus Ullmark stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 32 and 29 shots on goal.
CGY 3.3 xG · 32 shots
OTT 2.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
OT
0.3 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Blake Coleman · 1st 12:14 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Nick Cousins · 1st 19:00 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Ridly Greig · 3rd 06:24 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 07:16 · 2–2 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · OT 00:55 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 63.
CGY 63%OTT 37%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Blake Coleman · 1st 12:14 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Nick Cousins · 1st 19:00 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Ridly Greig · 3rd 06:24 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 07:16 · PP · 2–2
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
5
Brady Tkachuk · OT 00:55 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
3
Unassisted · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–2
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
