CGY
6–4
CHI
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 16-11-7
6–4
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 12-20-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
21531015630
CHI
08110310428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
CGY 16-11-7 · CHI 12-20-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
Flames beat the Blackhawks
The Flames were outchanced (3.5 to 2.2 expected goals) but won 6–4 anyway. Petr Mrazek allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blackhawks created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 28 and 30 shots on goal.
CGY 2.2 xG · 30 shots
CHI 3.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.1 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 12:19 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 13:26 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Connor Bedard · 2nd 10:09 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Connor Zary · 2nd 10:37 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Matt Coronato · 2nd 12:40 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Blake Coleman · 2nd 17:51 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 00:57 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (47%)
8
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 11:30 · 5–3 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
9
Ilya Mikheyev · 3rd 18:52 · 5–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
10
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 19:37 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 31.
CGY 31%CHI 69%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 12:19 · SH · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 13:26 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Connor Bedard · 2nd 10:09 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Connor Zary · 2nd 10:37 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Matt Coronato · 2nd 12:40 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Blake Coleman · 2nd 17:51 · GWG · 5–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 00:57 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (47%)
8
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 11:30 · PP · 5–3
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
9
Ilya Mikheyev · 3rd 18:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
10
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 19:37 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
