CGY
1–4
NSH
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 18-14-7
1–4
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 13-20-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
011110011132
NSH
04214210428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–1
CGY 18-14-7 · NSH 13-20-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–1
Flames fell to the Predators
The Flames created the better chances (2.9 to 2.2 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Justus Annunen stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.2, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
CGY 2.9 xG · 32 shots
NSH 2.2 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.2
2nd
1.3 · 1.3
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 04:21 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 11:37 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 18:22 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Fedor Svechkov · 3rd 09:19 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 18:33 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 62.
CGY 62%NSH 38%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 04:21 · PP · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 11:37 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 18:22 · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Fedor Svechkov · 3rd 09:19 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 18:33 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
4
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–3
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
