CGY
5–2
BUF
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 23-16-7
5–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 18-25-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
1718311526
BUF
01421109234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 23-16-7 · BUF 18-25-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames beat the Sabres
The Flames were outchanced (3.7 to 2.9 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Dustin Wolf stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.9, on 34 and 26 shots on goal.
CGY 2.9 xG · 26 shots
BUF 3.7 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
3rd
1.2 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 12:00 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 02:50 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 07:18 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 10:31 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
· 3rd 03:29 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 17:15 · 4–2 · tip in shot, into an empty net
7
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 17:52 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 38.
CGY 38%BUF 62%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 12:00 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 02:50 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 07:18 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 10:31 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
· 3rd 03:29 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 17:15 · EN · 4–2
Tip in shot, into an empty net
7
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 17:52 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
