Calgary Flames
CGY · 24-18-7
1–3
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 34-11-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
01319011133
WSH
1511216323
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 24-18-7 · WSH 34-11-5 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Capitals
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.6 expected goals); the Flames lost 1–3. Logan Thompson stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 23 shots on goal.
CGY 2.3 xG · 33 shots
WSH 2.6 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.2
2nd
0.7 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 01:51 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Blake Coleman · 2nd 12:17 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 15:12 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 17:35 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 45.
CGY 45%WSH 55%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 01:51 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Blake Coleman · 2nd 12:17 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 15:12 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 17:35 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
1
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.