Calgary Flames
CGY · 25-18-7
4–1
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 21-24-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
08212210430
ANA
11007014131
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
CGY 25-18-7 · ANA 21-24-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
Flames beat the Ducks
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.5 expected goals); the Flames won 4–1. Dustin Wolf stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 30 and 31 shots on goal.
CGY 2.2 xG · 30 shots
ANA 2.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Frank Vatrano · 1st 11:54 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Adam Klapka · 2nd 00:15 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Blake Coleman · 2nd 19:16 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Matt Coronato · 3rd 16:10 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Matt Coronato · 3rd 17:37 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 46.
CGY 46%ANA 54%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Frank Vatrano · 1st 11:54 · SH · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Adam Klapka · 2nd 00:15 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Blake Coleman · 2nd 19:16 · GWG · 2–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Matt Coronato · 3rd 16:10 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Matt Coronato · 3rd 17:37 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.