Calgary Flames
CGY · 25-19-7
1–3
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 26-21-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
01201319134
DET
280819325
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
CGY 25-19-7 · DET 26-21-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
Flames fell to the Red Wings
The Flames created the better chances (2.3 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Cam Talbot stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.7, on 34 and 25 shots on goal.
CGY 2.3 xG · 34 shots
DET 1.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.2 · 0.2
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 08:27 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Simon Edvinsson · 1st 19:14 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 08:34 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Andrew Copp · 3rd 19:06 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 63.
CGY 63%DET 37%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 08:27 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Simon Edvinsson · 1st 19:14 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 08:34 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Andrew Copp · 3rd 19:06 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Jonatan Berggren, Elmer Soderblom · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.