CGY
3–6
TOR
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 26-20-7
3–6
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 32-19-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
1101719326
TOR
0741429630
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 26-20-7 · TOR 32-19-2 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Maple Leafs
The Flames were outchanced (3.8 to 2.9 expected goals) and lost 3–6. Dustin Wolf allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 30 and 26 shots on goal.
CGY 2.9 xG · 26 shots
TOR 3.8 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.7
3rd
0.9 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Coronato · 1st 14:16 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 02:36 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
John Tavares · 2nd 03:17 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 05:58 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Bobby McMann · 2nd 12:28 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 18:18 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Knies · 3rd 05:44 · 2–5 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (77%)
8
Joel Farabee · 3rd 06:02 · 3–5 · tip in shot, a great chance (43%)
9
William Nylander · 3rd 19:16 · 3–6 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 36.
CGY 36%TOR 64%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Coronato · 1st 14:16 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 02:36 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
John Tavares · 2nd 03:17 · PP · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 05:58 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Bobby McMann · 2nd 12:28 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 18:18 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Knies · 3rd 05:44 · 2–5
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (77%)
8
Joel Farabee · 3rd 06:02 · 3–5
Tip in shot, a great chance (43%)
9
William Nylander · 3rd 19:16 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
Auston Matthews, Morgan Rielly · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
