Calgary Flames
CGY · 27-21-8
3–2
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 15-36-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
11411319336
SJS
1801318229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
CGY 27-21-8 · SJS 15-36-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
Flames beat the Sharks
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.0 expected goals); the Flames won 3–2. Dustin Wolf stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.0, on 36 and 29 shots on goal.
CGY 2.9 xG · 36 shots
SJS 3.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
1.2 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Macklin Celebrini · 1st 03:41 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 07:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Kevin Rooney · 2nd 03:35 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 01:54 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Joel Hanley · 3rd 13:28 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 49.
CGY 49%SJS 51%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Macklin Celebrini · 1st 03:41 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 07:27 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Kevin Rooney · 2nd 03:35 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 01:54 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Joel Hanley · 3rd 13:28 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.