Calgary Flames
CGY · 30-23-10
1–0
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 30-27-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
0911005124
MTL
04012010026
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
CGY 30-23-10 · MTL 30-27-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
Flames beat the Canadiens
The Flames were outchanced (2.6 to 1.4 expected goals) but won 1–0 anyway. Dustin Wolf stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.4, on 26 and 24 shots on goal.
CGY 1.4 xG · 24 shots
MTL 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd
0.4 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Farabee · 2nd 16:21 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 27.
CGY 27%MTL 73%
Goals and penalties
1 goal · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Farabee · 2nd 16:21 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
1
Mikael Backlund, MacKenzie Weegar · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–0
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
26/26 saves · 0 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.