CGY
3–4
VAN
Final / SO · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 30-23-11
3–4
Final / SOL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 30-24-11
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
CGY
1122704000323
VAN
1715117021431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
CGY 30-23-11 · VAN 30-24-11 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Flames fell to the Canucks
The Flames were outchanced (4.5 to 2.3 expected goals) and lost it in a shootout. Dustin Wolf stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canucks created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 31 and 23 shots on goal.
CGY 2.3 xG · 23 shots
VAN 4.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.7
OT
0.1 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pius Suter · 1st 13:33 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 17:53 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 10:32 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 13:58 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 16:01 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 13:16 · 3–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 20.
CGY 20%VAN 80%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pius Suter · 1st 13:33 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 17:53 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 10:32 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 13:58 · SH · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 16:01 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 13:16 · 3–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Canucks
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
