Calgary Flames
CGY · 34-26-11
2–5
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 47-21-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
013118117248
DAL
1112523519
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–3
CGY 34-26-11 · DAL 47-21-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–3
Flames fell to the Stars
The Flames created the better chances (4.3 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Casey DeSmith stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 48 and 19 shots on goal.
CGY 4.3 xG · 48 shots
DAL 2.6 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.1
2nd
1.7 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 07:09 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 08:12 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 12:55 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
4
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 14:11 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 00:16 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 13:22 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Matt Duchene · 3rd 18:11 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 74.
CGY 74%DAL 26%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 07:09 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 08:12 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 12:55 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
4
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 14:11 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 00:16 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 13:22 · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Matt Duchene · 3rd 18:11 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
46/48 saves · 2 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.