Calgary Flames
CGY · 36-27-12
4–1
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 33-34-8
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
11421218434
ANA
11301004127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–0
CGY 36-27-12 · ANA 33-34-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–0
Flames beat the Ducks
The Flames earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Dustin Wolf stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 34 and 27 shots on goal.
CGY 3.1 xG · 34 shots
ANA 2.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nazem Kadri · 1st 00:16 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Olen Zellweger · 1st 08:01 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Blake Coleman · 2nd 10:25 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Kevin Rooney · 2nd 15:19 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 01:17 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 63.
CGY 63%ANA 37%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nazem Kadri · 1st 00:16 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Olen Zellweger · 1st 08:01 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Blake Coleman · 2nd 10:25 · SH · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Kevin Rooney · 2nd 15:19 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 01:17 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Yegor Sharangovich, MacKenzie Weegar · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
5
Yegor Sharangovich, Rasmus Andersson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4–1
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.