Calgary Flames
CGY · 36-27-13
2–3
Final / OTL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 46-22-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CGY
07181800223
VGK
1121100913334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–3
CGY 36-27-13 · VGK 46-22-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–3
Flames fell to the Golden Knights
The Flames were outchanced (3.2 to 1.4 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Smith's goal. The Golden Knights owned the 1st period, 1.4 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.4, on 34 and 23 shots on goal.
CGY 1.4 xG · 23 shots
VGK 3.2 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.2 · 1.4
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 18:39 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Reilly Smith · 2nd 09:57 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Joel Hanley · 2nd 19:52 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Matt Coronato · 3rd 00:43 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Reilly Smith · OT 04:31 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 21.
CGY 21%VGK 79%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 18:39 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Reilly Smith · 2nd 09:57 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Joel Hanley · 2nd 19:52 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Matt Coronato · 3rd 00:43 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Reilly Smith · OT 04:31 · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.