CGY
4–2
MIN
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 38-27-14
4–2
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 43-30-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
11421216432
MIN
070625218
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–0
CGY 38-27-14 · MIN 43-30-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–0
Flames beat the Wild
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.0 expected goals); the Flames won 4–2. Filip Gustavsson allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 32 and 18 shots on goal.
CGY 2.5 xG · 32 shots
MIN 2.0 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 0.5
3rd
0.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 16:25 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 05:31 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 07:23 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 07:20 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 15:39 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (50%)
6
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 18:30 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 59.
CGY 59%MIN 41%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 16:25 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 05:31 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 07:23 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 07:20 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 15:39 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (50%)
6
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 18:30 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
